The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. Arizona weather in February 2024 | Arizona 14 day weather Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. So what's in store? This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. Feb March 2023 . The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. Global carbon dioxide emissions reached a record high in 2022 With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. It's not . The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. Arizona expects wet, active monsoon season in 2022 - The Arizona Republic Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. All rights reserved. We know that finding the ideal hotel in Arizona can be a hard task Thats why we run our special tools and found the best hotels in Arizona. 2023 www.azcentral.com. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. So, what about this month? In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. Search. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". Toggle navigation. In a couple of words: its nice! No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. Well, until it's August. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? The periodical says it. Equal chances use the map provided below. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Phoenix, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. Yuck. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Temperature: Below Average, WANT MORE? You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Take control of your data. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. July climate data across southeast Arizona. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer, drier South with ongoing La Nina CLIMAS
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